The Shape of Things to Come
filed under: Trends
tags:
James and I had a conversation last week about how things have changed over the years. He was looking at the world Sydney and Jay are growing up in, technologically speaking, and comparing it to the environment Louise and Tom grew up in, or he himself grew up in. We thought it would be fun to have some online conversations about this.
So I'll start things out with a confession.
And here it is: I have a track record of being extremely shortsighted when it comes to predicting future technology. The examples I will present of this are mostly from my very young days. Maybe now I have enough life experience and wisdom to be more farsighted. Maybe.
Example #1: For twenty or thirty years I have been agreeing with predictions that one day our entering college students would not be able to read an analog clock. That hasn't happened yet, and at this point I'm not sure it ever will. But it still seems like it should, given how few young people wear watches these days, preferring to use their cell phones to keep track of time.
Example #2: Back in sixth grade, we were having a discussion about the saying "Necessity is the mother of invention". It occurred to me during that discussion that all the inventions had happened already and that there were no more to look forward to. After all, we had electricity, cars, indoor plumbing, heat. What more did we need? I thought this was sad, that I wouldn't be witnessing the dawn of any big inventions.
Example #3: Back when "Get Smart" was a new TV show, I used to enjoy watching it for all the outrageous gadgets. But one gadget was just SO over-the-top that I had trouble suspending disbelief whenever it appeared. It was the Shoe Phone. Oh, the fact that a phone was in a shoe I could handle. But there was NO WIRE. And it would ring when Max was ON THE STREET. I knew that could NEVER happen.
So there you have it. Proof that I stink at predicting future technology. But that won't stop me making more predictions.
Care to join me? Where do you think things are going in the next ten or twenty years?